Agricultural activities going down in Africa due to climate change hence vulnerability.
Climate change has the potential to reverse significant development gains made in African countries.The World Bank estimates that the effects of climate change could push an additional 100 million people below the poverty line by 2030. Climate change will have a major impact on agricultural production, comparative advantages, and
trade fl ows. A greater divergence between regions in terms of agricultural output is likely. For the
most part, countries in the tropics and subtropical zones, mostly developing economies, are expected to lose in terms of agricultural production whereas countries in temperate zones, mostly developed economies, are expected to gain. Many of these developing countries are highly dependent
on the production and exports of agricultural goods, climate change will therefore cause considerable losses of growth and export opportunities. In addition, most of the worst aff ected countries are
characterized by current crippling infrastructure, feeble rural and agricultural markets and, weak
integration to the global economy.
It is generally agreed that the countries in Africa will experience declining yields in the long run. For
example, agricultural production in Guinea-Bissau, which agricultural sector adds value of 62% of
GDP, is estimated to decrease with 32.7 % (without carbon fertilization) by 2080. Th e impacts on
development and food security, as well as on nutrition, will be enormous.
We have to invest in adaptation
It's now or never
